Retention methods measurably cut runoff and sediment, raise soil moisture and recharge groundwater near the structures, yet this review found no study that shows a gauged, controlled rise in catchment dry-season baseflow, and several strong studies show dense retention reducing water downstream.

Overview

Water Retention Landscapes include pits, bunds, terraces, check dams, johads, sand dams, infiltration canals, leaky weirs and beaver dam analogues. At the scale where they are built, the evidence is large and consistent. A review of sub-Saharan plot studies found that cross-slope structures cut runoff by 13 to 71% and soil loss by 39 to 83% (Wolka, Mulder and Biazin 2018). Terraces and check dams were the main driver of the fall in Yellow River sediment from the 1970s to the 1990s (Wang et al. 2016). Under Arvari johads in Rajasthan, groundwater recharge reached 3 to 7 mm per day in the monsoon (Glendenning and Vervoort 2010).

The evidence thins with scale. A water payer would buy more dry-season river flow, and this run found no gauged, controlled demonstration of it. On total yield the best catchment studies point the other way. In the Arvari, past a threshold, more harvesting area added little recharge and “substantially reduces streamflow” (Glendenning 2009). In Murray-Darling study catchments, farm dams cut mean annual streamflow by a median of 13% (Journal of Hydrology 2023). On the Loess Plateau, Feng et al. (2016, Nature Climate Change) found that rising evapotranspiration under the Grain to Green program, running since 1999, caused “a significant (p < 0.001) decrease in the ratio of river runoff to annual precipitation”. They also found that “NPP in this region is found to be already close to this limit” of 400 ± 5 g C m⁻² yr⁻¹. The strongest dry-season result, Peru’s amunas, describes a delay with no added annual volume. Infiltrated water “is retained for an average of 45 d before resurfacing”, and upscaling to Lima’s source areas “can potentially delay 99 × 10^6 m3 yr−1 of streamflow and increase dry-season flows by 7.5% on average” (Ochoa-Tocachi et al. 2019, Nature Sustainability).

The flagship programs carry the weakest independent evidence. Slovakia’s 2010 to 2012 Landscape Revitalization Program has no published hydrological evaluation. Its auditor found invoice fraud, and one of its dams failed fatally in 2021. India’s Comptroller and Auditor General tabled a report on Maharashtra’s Jalyukt Shivar in the state Legislative Assembly in 2020. It found that the scheme, at Rs 9,633.75 crore, “had little impact in achieving water neutrality and increasing groundwater level, and its execution was characterised by lack of transparency” (Outlook India). It also found that storage in 83 of 120 sampled villages did not meet water needs (Republic World). The Mulloon Institute’s monitoring paper says catchment results are still to be published. A BioHub can fund retention on evidence now if it pays for soil moisture, erosion, local wells, sediment and yield, and treats catchment baseflow as a hypothesis to monitor.

This page describes practitioners, NGOs, state programs and research organizations only through their published records and statements. None has yet been invited to comment. Corrections and responses will be recorded on this page. On this site, [MS] marks a claim that rests on the account of the party the claim is about or on the wiki’s own project documents. Money is given in the currency and year reported.

What the syntheses conclude

SynthesisConclusion
Wolka, Mulder and Biazin 2018, sub-Saharan AfricaRunoff −13 to −71%, soil loss −39 to −83%; yield effects mixed
Joshi et al. 2005, 311 Indian watershedsMean benefit-cost ratio 2.14, IRR 22%; best with strong participation and 700 to 1,000 mm rain
Joshi et al. 2008, 636 watershedsBenefit-cost ratio about 2; weak institutions limit gains
Glendenning et al. 2012, Indian rainwater harvesting reviewLocal recharge documented; net watershed effect poorly understood
Larsen, Larsen and Lane 2021, beaver reviewSite-scale flood attenuation, altered low flows, raised water tables, more evaporation
Chen et al. 2025, Loess Plateau check dams58,776 dams by 2019; 5.5 billion m³ sediment retained; 34% annual Yellow River sediment cut 2000 to 2012
Frontiers in Water 2021, sand damsLocal water tables rise; one model met 6% of demand and cut downstream flow 1%
Tigray ecosystem-based adaptation reviewExclosures and stone bunds most successful; water harvesting schemes limited
EU NWRM and Climate-ADAPTCase factsheets (Lamone, Tamera) give intended functions and modeled storage

None of the syntheses claims a demonstrated catchment-scale rise in dry-season flow. The Indian meta-analyses measure economic returns and do not isolate hydrology. WOCAT and post-2020 EU evaluations were not reached.

The distinctions

  • Local versus catchment. Glendenning measured recharge under seven johads and in 29 wells, then modeled the 476 km² catchment, where streamflow fell past a threshold.
  • Timing versus volume. Upscaled amunas delay 99 million m³ a year, raising dry-season flow 7.5% and lowering wet-season flow. Makueni sand dams raise evapotranspiration from 84.5% to 89% of rainfall, a volume loss.
  • Scale. Each table row records scale. No plot figure is multiplied up.
  • Retention versus revegetation. On the Loess Plateau, engineering dominates sediment reduction before the 1990s and vegetation after (Wang et al. 2016). Most Tigray and Indian evaluations do not isolate structures.
  • Degraded versus functioning land. The best results come from incised channels, gullied loess and crusted Sahelian soils. New storage on functioning land behaves like Australian farm dams.
  • Local climate. Treated under P7. No independent measured study was found. See Bioprecipitation for the wiki’s treatment of the rainfall hypothesis.

Results by method

Pits and microcatchments (zaï, demi-lunes)

Zaï raised Burkina Faso yields by 300 to 400 kg/ha in dry years and up to 1,500 kg/ha in wet years (Kaboré and Reij 2004). Half-moons with compost or manure gave 900 to 1,600 kg/ha of sorghum, 20 to 39 times unamended half-moons (Zougmoré et al. 2003). Water capture alone failed on nutrient-poor soils. No groundwater or streamflow measurement was found. Cost: labor; no per-hectare figure found.

Bunds, trenches and terraces

Stone bunds cut soil loss 68% on 202 Tigray parcels (Gebremichael et al. 2005). Under 120 mm/h simulated rain on the Loess Plateau, maintained terraces cut runoff 100%; ridgeless terraces 28%. Effectiveness declines as trenches fill (Taye et al. 2015, not re-read). Bunds take cropland and can lower early yields.

Check dams and small dams (johads, stop dams)

Check dams and dam lands cut watershed sediment yield by about 50 to 77% in China, Spain and the United States (Scientific Data 2024). Failures: the Arvari streamflow threshold; Jalyukt Shivar, where 38 of 58 audited villages saw no groundwater rise and none of 120 collected a maintenance cess (CAG 2020); sediment rebounds as Jiuyuangou reservoirs silt (Feng et al. 2026); the 2021 Rudno nad Hronom dam breach in Slovakia, which had no safety inspection or completion approval (STVR 2021). Cost: the CAG counted 6.41 lakh works started in 22,586 villages, of which 6.3 lakh (98%) were completed at Rs 9,633.75 crore (Republic World, citing the CAG). That is about Rs 1.53 lakh per completed work. Kravčík reports a €4 per m³ cap [MS].

Sand dams

Households near Kitui sand dams used about 440 liters a day against 110 elsewhere. The dams stored about 5% of runoff (Lasage et al. 2008). In a 2016 survey, about half of 116 Kitui dams held no water (Springer 2020). In Makueni, 47.6% of reservoir losses evaporated and 3.8% seeped, and baseflow contribution fell (SWAT+, 2026). Lasage et al. (2015) cap Ethiopian catchments at 1,000 and 600 dams to keep flow reduction within 3%.

Infiltration canals (amunas)

At Huamantanga, Peru, dye tracing showed a mean 45-day retention (Ochoa-Tocachi et al. 2019). Modeled local dry-season flow rose 3 to 554%. Basin upscaling is a scenario (E4) that diverts 35% of wet-season flow. Only three communities maintain amunas.

Leaky dams and natural flood management

At Pickering, England, leaky dams, planting and an 85,000 m³ bund cut the Boxing Day 2015 peak 15 to 20%, half from land measures (Environment Agency, 2016). The event was 50 mm over 36 hours. Land measures alone were modeled at 4% for a 1-in-25 peak and 8% for a 1-in-100 peak (Defra 2015). The chair warned they would not prevent a 2007-scale flood. See also Environment Agency (2017), Working with Natural Processes.

Natural Sequence Farming

Mulloon Creek has 14 leaky weirs on 2.5 km, gauges above and below, and floodplain piezometers. The institute reports maintained dry-season flow and a higher water table. Peel et al. (2022) call the pilot monitoring “more ad-hoc” and say catchment results await publication. Tony Coote’s claims of 60% more carrying capacity, outflow above inflow and about 100 mm a year of dew are [MS]. No independent study of Tarwyn Park was found.

Beaver dam analogues

Bridge Creek, Oregon, is a highly degraded incised stream, and BDAs were installed on 3.4 km of it (76 in 2009, 121 working by 2012). Bouwes et al. (2016, Scientific Reports) reported “significant increases in the density, survival and production of juvenile steelhead without impacting upstream and downstream migrations”. Survival rose 52% against a control stream over seven years. The authors call the study “the first large-scale experiment to quantify the benefits of beavers and BDAs to a fish population”. Baseflow was not reported. Natural beaver dams were “generally short lived” before posts were installed to anchor them. Ponds raise evaporation (Larsen et al. 2021).

State programs in Tigray

Abreha we Atsbeha reports a groundwater rise of about 5 m (Gebregziabher et al. 2016), without a control catchment. Nyssen’s 30-year photographs use an unchanged church woodland as a reference against rainfall change (E3).

Results by climate

ClimateMeasured successMeasured limits
BSh (Sahel, Rajasthan, Kitui, Maharashtra)Pits, bunds, johads, sand dams at field and local-well scaleArvari streamflow loss; Jalyukt nulls; dry sand dams
BSk (Loess Plateau, eastern Oregon)Catchment sediment; reach habitatWater limit; siltation; short-lived dams
Cwb highlands (Tigray)Bunds, exclosuresTrench filling; weak water harvesting gains
Andean seasonalAmunas springsTiming only
Cfb (England, NSW tablelands)Moderate flood peaksSmall effect in large storms; Mulloon unpublished
Cfa/BSk AustraliaFarm dam supply−13% median streamflow
Csa/Csb MediterraneanCase descriptions onlyNo measured hydrology found
Dfb (Slovakia, Czechia)None measuredFailed structures; missed audit targets

The target of five measured Mediterranean cases was not met. That gap is a finding, and it matters for Cape fynbos and renosterveld catchments, which share the Csb class.

The case and study table

Legend: n.r. not reported; a dash means not applicable. Evidence levels: E1 controlled or paired experiment, E2 long record with counterfactual, E3 before-after without control, E4 model, E5 practitioner account; reviews and audits are labeled as such. The same table is available as CSV.

idcasecountryyearsclimatesoil_geologyslopemethodscaleoutcomesresulteffect_sizetimescalepersistencecostconfoundersevidence_levelgradeindependentsources
IN-ARVARI-GV2010Arvari johads rechargeIndia, Rajasthan1985-; 2007-08BShHard rockn.r.JohadsField, 29 wellsO2Recharge 3-7 mm/day3-7 mm/day20 yrIn usen.r.Rain variabilityE3[IC]YesGlendenning & Vervoort 2010
IN-ARVARI-GV2011Arvari trade-offsIndia, RajasthanModelBShHard rockn.r.366 structuresCatchment 476 km²O2,O4,O11Past threshold, streamflow fallsDirectionScenarion.r.n.r.UngaugedE4[IC]YesGlendenning & Vervoort 2011
IN-RWH-GLEN2012Indian RWH reviewIndiato 2011MixedMixedMixedRWHReviewO2,O4,O11Net watershed effect unclearn.r.-n.r.n.r.AbstractionReview[IC]YesGlendenning et al. 2012
IN-WSD-JOSHI2005311 watershedsIndiato 2003700-1,000 mm bestMixedMixedWatershed dev.311 sitesO7,O9BCR 2.14, IRR 22%BCR 2.14Variedn.r.n.r.Mixed qualityE3[IC]PartlyJoshi et al. 2005
IN-WSD-JOSHI2008636 watershedsIndiato 2007MixedMixedMixedWatershed dev.636 sitesO7,O9BCR about 2BCR 2VariedConcernn.r.MixedE3[IC]PartlyJoshi et al. 2008
IN-KUMBH-WOTRKumbharwadi valuationIndia, Maharashtrato 2012BShn.r.n.r.Watershed treatment171 householdsO7,O9US$5,573-8,172 benefit/haBCR 2.28-3.7615 yrn.r.n.r.Before-afterE3[MS]NoWOTR
IN-JSA-CAG2020Jalyukt Shivar auditIndia, Maharashtra2015-19BSh/AwBasaltn.r.Stop dams, ponds22,586 villagesO2,O9,O10No rise in 38/58 villages; 29/80 water-neutralNull 66%1-4 yrNo cessRs 9,633.75 crDroughtE3[IC]YesCAG 2020
IN-JSA-GSDA2018GSDA depletionIndia, Maharashtra2015-18BSh/AwBasaltn.r.As aboveStateO2,O1113,984 villages >1 m drop in 2018 at 73.5% of normal rain vs 13,751 in 2015 at 59.4%; state minister disputed, citing rises in 101 tehsils+233 villages despite wetter year3 yrn.r.n.r.Rain; contested figuresE3[TBV]Data yesHindustan Times 27 Oct 2018 (opposition claim citing GSDA)
IN-ARP-TBSTBS river revivalIndia, Rajasthan1985-BShHard rockn.r.JohadsCatchmentO3,O9River revived (claim)n.r.DecadesCommunityn.r.UngaugedE5[MS]NoTBS accounts
PE-AMUNA-OT2019Huamantanga amunasPeru, Lima2014-17Andean seasonalPermeableSteepCanals11 canals; basinO2,O345-day retention; +7.5% dry-season (model)99 Mm³/yr delayedSeasonal3 communities1/10 gray (interview)ModelE2/E4[IC]YesOchoa-Tocachi 2019
CN-LOESS-WANG2016Yellow River sedimentChina1950s-2010sBSkLoessSteepTerraces, check damsRegionalO6Engineering main driver to 1990sAbout −90% loadDecadesDeclining trapsn.r.ReservoirsE2[IC]YesWang et al. 2016
CN-LOESS-CHEN2025Check dam overviewChinato 2019BSkLoessGullies58,776 damsRegionalO65.5 billion m³ trapped−34%DecadesSiltingn.r.ReservoirsReview[IC]YesChen et al. 2025
CN-LOESS-FENG2016Water limitChina1999-2013BSkLoessMixedRevegetationRegionalO4,O7,O11Near NPP water limit400 g C/m²/yr15 yrn.r.n.r.ClimateE4[IC]YesFeng et al. 2016
CN-LOESS-ZHANG2018Soil dryingChinapost-1999BSkLoessMixedAfforestationRegionalO1,O4,O11Streamflow and soil water declineTrees 2x grassDecadesn.r.n.r.ClimateE4[IC]YesZhang et al. 2018
CN-LOESS-YIELD2022Yield not reducedChinapost-1999BSkLoessMixedRevegetationRegionalO4No yield fall on 82.3% of plateauNone20 yrn.r.n.r.FeedbacksE4[TBV]Yes2022 study
CN-LOESS-JYG2026Jiuyuangou 59 yrChina1964-2022BSkLoessGulliedCheck dams, terracesWatershedO5,O6,O10,O11R² 0.98 to 0.008; rebounds in storms>90% human share59 yrDecaysn.r.ExtremesE2[IC]YesFeng et al. 2026
CN-LOESS-TERRACETerrace simulationChinan.r.BSkLoessTerracedTerracesHillslopeO5Runoff −100% maintained, −28% ridgelessAs statedEventRidges decisiven.r.LabE1[IC]Yes2022 simulation
CN-LOESS-LIULiu filmsChina1995-BSkLoessSteepWB measuresRegionalO7,O9Greening filmedn.r.Yearsn.r.n.r.Many programsE5[MS]NoLiu films
US-BRIDGE-BOUWES2016Bridge Creek BDAsUS, Oregon2009-15BSkIncised alluviumLowBDAs3.4 km treatedO7, fishSteelhead survival +52%+52%7 yrBeaver colonizedn.r.Control streamE1[IC]PartlyBouwes et al. 2016
US-BRIDGE-DAMLIFEDam longevityUS, Oregon3 decadesBSkIncisedLowBeaver damsReachO10,O11Dams short livedn.r.DecadesWashoutsn.r.FloodsE3[IC]YesBouwes et al. 2016
GLOBAL-BEAVER-LARSENBeaver reviewGlobalLit.MixedMixedLowBeaver damsReachO2,O3,O5,O11Attenuation; more evaporationn.r.-n.r.n.r.-Review[IC]YesLarsen et al. 2021
UK-DEVON-PUTTOCK2017Devon beaversEngland2011-15Cfbn.r.HeadwaterBeaver damsSmall catchmentO5Storm peaks about −30%−30%4 yrn.r.n.r.ControlE1[TBV]YesPuttock 2017, not re-read
AU-MULLOON-SRCMA2008Mulloon pilotAustralia, NSW2006-08Cfb, 600-800 mmn.r.Valley14 leaky weirs2.5 km reachO2,O3Flow held in dry times (reported)n.r.2 yrRepairsn.r.No controlE3[MS]PartlySRCMA 2008
AU-MULLOON-PEEL2022Mulloon designAustralia, NSW2018-Cfbn.r.n.r.Leaky weirs23,000 haO10Results pending--Flood damagen.r.-Design[MS]NoPeel et al. 2022
AU-MULLOON-COOTECoote statementsAustralia, NSW2006-18Cfbn.r.n.r.NSFFarmO3,O7,O8+60% carrying capacity; dew 100 mmClaimed12 yrn.r.n.r.No controlE5[MS]NoABC 2016
AU-NSF-TARWYNTarwyn ParkAustralia, NSW1970s-Cfan.r.ValleyNSFFarmO3,O7No independent studyn.r.n.r.n.r.n.r.n.r.E5[TBV]NoNone found
AU-MDB-FARMDAMS2023Farm damsAustralia, MDB2018 levelBSk/CfaMixedMixedFarm damsBasinO4,O11Median −13% streamflow; low flows hit−13%LongPermanentn.r.ModelE4[IC]YesJ Hydrol 2023
AU-MDB-MALERBA2021Dam growthAustralia2021-31MixedMixedMixedFarm damsBasinO4,O11−180 GL/yr projected−180 GLDecade-n.r.ProjectionE4[TBV]YesMalerba 2021
UK-PICKERING-EA2016Pickering 2015England2009-15Cfbn.r.UplandLeaky dams, bundCatchmentO5Peak −15-20%−15-20%Monthsn.r.n.r.One eventE2[IC]PartlyEA/STF 2016
UK-PICKERING-DEFRA2015Pickering modelEngland2011-15Cfbn.r.UplandLand measuresCatchmentO5,O11−4% (1:25), −8% (1:100); synchronization risk4-8%--n.r.ModelE4[IC]PartlyDefra 2015
SSA-SWC-WOLKA2018SSA barriers reviewSub-Saharan AfricaLit.MixedMixedMixedBunds, terracesPlotO1,O6,O7Runoff −13-71%; soil loss −39-83%As statedSeasonsn.r.n.r.Designs varyReview[IC]YesWolka et al. 2018
ET-TIGRAY-GEB2005Tigray stone bundsEthiopia3-21 yr bundsCwb/BShMixedMixedStone bunds202 parcelsO6Soil loss −68%−68%3-21 yrPersistedn.r.ParcelsE3[IC]YesGebremichael 2005
ET-TIGRAY-TAYE2015Bund declineEthiopiaMulti-yearBShn.r.MixedBunds, trenchesPlotsO5,O6,O10Effect declines as trenches fillDeclineYearsMaintenancen.r.RainE1[TBV]YesTaye 2015, not re-read
ET-ABREHA-NEG2013Mendae groundwaterEthiopia1993-Cwbn.r.SteepIntegrated SWCCatchmentO2About tenfold rise (as cited)10x20 yrn.r.n.r.No controlE3[TBV]YesNegusse 2013
ET-ABREHA-GEB2016Abreha we AtsbehaEthiopiato 2015Cwbn.r.SteepBunds, exclosuresWatershedO2,O9Groundwater +5 m+5 m20 yrn.r.n.r.No controlE3[IC]YesGebregziabher 2016
ET-TIGRAY-PHOTORepeat photosEthiopia1974-2000sBSh/Cwbn.r.MixedExclosures, bundsRegionalO3,O6,O7Springs improved below exclosuresn.r.30 yrMaintainedn.r.Woodland referenceE3[IC]YesNyssen et al.
ET-TIGRAY-GULLYGully diversionEthiopiaExperimentBShn.r.HillslopeDiversionHillslopeO2,O5,O6Percolation up to 850 mm850 mmSeasonsn.r.n.r.One siteE3[IC]YesNyssen et al.
ET-TIGRAY-EBAEBA reviewEthiopiaLit.MixedMixedMixedMixedRegionalO7,O9,O11Water harvesting limitedn.r.-n.r.n.r.-Review[IC]YesSpringer review
KE-KITUI-LASAGE2008SASOL sand damsKenya2000sBShSandyLowSand dams3 damsO2,O9440 vs 110 l/day; 5% runoff stored4x useYearsn.r.n.r.Non-randomE3[IC]PartlyLasage 2008
KE-SANDDAM-HUT2008Sand dam groundwaterKenyaCampaignBShSandyLowSand dams1 damO2Quick rise; depends on usen.r.Seasonsn.r.n.r.AbstractionE3[IC]YesHut 2008
KE-SANDDAM-QUINN20193-dam balanceKenyaFieldBShSandyLowSand dams3 damsO2,O11Specific yield below assumedn.r.Seasonsn.r.n.r.ParametersE3[IC]YesQuinn 2019
KE-SANDDAM-VLD2006Sand dam modelKenyaModelBShSandyLowSand damsCatchmentO4,O96% of demand; −1% downstream−1%--n.r.ModelE4[IC]YesVan Loon 2006
KE-KITUI-SITING2020116 dams surveyKenya2016BShSandyLowSand dams116 damsO9,O10,O11About half dry50% dryYearsSitingn.r.One surveyE3[IC]YesSpringer 2020
KE-MAKUENI-SWAT2026Makueni SWAT+KenyaModelBShSandyLow22 dams22.35 km²O3,O4,O11ET/P 84.5 to 89%; baseflow share falls+4.5 pts--n.r.UngaugedE4[IC]YesFrontiers 2026
ET-SANDDAM-LAS2015Dam ceilingEthiopiato 2050BShn.r.n.r.Sand damsCatchmentsO4,O111,000 and 600 dam caps3% limit2050-n.r.ModelE4[IC]YesLasage 2015
BF-ZAI-KABORE2004Yatenga zaïBurkina Faso1980s-2000sBShCrustedGentleZaï + manureFieldO7,O9+300 to +1,500 kg/haAs statedSeasonsMaintainedn.r.ManureE3[IC]PartlyKaboré & Reij 2004
BF-HALFMOON-ZOUG2003Half-moonsBurkina FasoTrialsBShNutrient-poorGentleHalf-moons + compostPlotO7900-1,600 kg/ha20-39xSeasonsn.r.n.r.NutrientsE1[IC]YesZougmoré 2003
NE-ZAI-RINAUDONiger zaïNigern.r.BShn.r.n.r.Zaï87 villagesO7Millet <350 to 1,000-2,000 kg/ha3-6xSeasonsAdoptedn.r.No controlE5[MS]NoRinaudo, ECHO
SK-LRP-SELFSlovak program claimsSlovakia2010-12DfbFlyschMixedSmall check dams488 municipalitiesO2,O5100,000 structures; 10 Mm³Claimed18 mon.r.€4/m³ claimedNo monitoringE5[MS]NoKravčík
SK-LRP-NKU2014NKÚ auditSlovakia2014Dfb--Spending46 municipalitiesO11Duplicate invoices; €32,181.17€32,1812-4 yr-n.r.-Audit[IC]YesKorzár 2014
SK-LRP-DENNIKN2020Denník N checkSlovakia2020Dfbn.r.n.r.Wooden dams3 sitesO10,O11Half damaged at Rudno; no expert analysis exists50%9 yrCleaned 1-2 yr€20,000/33 structuresReportersE5[IC]YesDenník N 2020
SK-LRP-SVP2013SVP statementsSlovakia2013Dfb--Check damsNationalO10,O11Many dams destroyed, nonfunctionaln.r.1-2 yrDestroyedn.r.CriticE5[TBV]YesPravda 2013
SK-LRP-RUDNO2021Rudno breachSlovakia2011-21Dfbn.r.Steep6 m dam1 structureO11Breach; one death1 death10 yrNever handed overn.r.Long rainOfficial[IC]YesSTVR, TA3 2021
SK-LRP-VTEI2022Gully monitoringSlovakia2014-17Dfbn.r.Gully7 damsGullyO6,O10Only measured study foundn.r.2-5 yrn.r.n.r.One gullyE3[IC]YesVTEI 2022
EU-CBA-SUSNIK2022Cost-benefit modelDE, CZ, SKModelDfb--RetentionRegionalO8,O9Benefits exceed costsn.r.--ModeledCo-authorE4[MS]NoSušnik 2022
CZ-NKU-2026Czech auditCzechia2020-24Dfb--Small water programsCZK 7.1 bnO10,O1110 of 15 targets missed10/154 yr-CZK 7.1 bn-Audit[IC]YesNKÚ ČR 2026
PT-TAMERA-EEATameraPortugal2007-Csan.r.ValleyLakes, swalesValleyO7Intended outcomes onlyn.r.Yearsn.r.n.r.No dataE5[MS]PartlyClimate-ADAPT
AT-KRAMETERHOFKrameterhofAustria1960s-Dfbn.r.SteepTerraces, pondsFarmO7No independent studyn.r.n.r.n.r.n.r.n.r.E5[TBV]NoNone found

58 rows. Null, negative, harm or non-lasting rows: 22. African rows: 21.

The predictions

P1. Soil moisture and infiltration rise at plot scale. For: runoff −13 to −71% (Wolka 2018); terraces −100% at 120 mm/h; 850 mm percolation in a Tigray gully diversion. Against: effects fade as structures fill. Grade [IC]. Status documented-fact. Wiki line: cross-slope structures and pits reduce runoff and erosion on plots, with effects that depend on maintenance.

P2. Groundwater rises and springs revive locally. For: 8 of 12 rows with well or spring records report a rise. Against: none used a control catchment; the CAG found no rise in 38 of 58 villages. Grade [IC] locally, [TBV] program-wide. Status academic-inference. Wiki line: structures recharge groundwater nearby where geology allows.

P3. Catchment dry-season baseflow rises. For: amunas model +7.5%; Mulloon reports [MS]. Against: zero gauged, controlled cases; Makueni and farm dam results show lower low flows. Grade [TBV]. Status working-hypothesis. Wiki line: no controlled gauged study demonstrates it.

P4. Total downstream yield rises. For: one model finds no yield loss from Loess Plateau revegetation, a vegetation result. Against: Arvari threshold; −13% farm dams; Loess Plateau limit; sand dam −1% and 3% caps. Grade [IC] against. Status academic-inference. Wiki line: dense retention reduces downstream yield.

P5. Floods and sediment fall. For: check dams −34% sediment; Pickering −15 to −20%; Devon beavers −30%. Against: Pickering land measures −4 to −8% modeled; Jiuyuangou storm rebounds; Robichaud (2008) log barriers work only in small storms. Grade [IC] for sediment and moderate floods, [TBV] for large floods. Status academic-inference.

P6. Effects persist. For: Tigray bunds aged 3 to 21 years still cut soil loss 68%. Against: half of Rudno dams damaged; fatal breach; half of Kitui dams dry; Jiuyuangou silting. Grade [IC] that persistence depends on maintenance. Status academic-inference.

P7. Cooling and rainfall. For: Kravčík thermal images and Coote dew claims [MS]. Against: no independent measured study found. Grade [TBV]. Status working-hypothesis for cooling, speculative-projection for rainfall.

P8. Community-led outperforms state-led. For: Joshi links participation to higher returns. Against: community-built Slovak and Kitui structures failed; state-engineered Loess Plateau has the strongest sediment record. Grade [TBV]. Status working-hypothesis. Wiki line: maintenance and siting predict outcomes better than who leads.

P9. Practitioner claims match measurement. For: amunas tracers; Pickering’s “up to 20%”. Against: Slovak, Jalyukt, TBS and Mulloon headline figures lack independent confirmation. Grade [IC] that a gap exists. Status academic-inference.

Evidence the claims must face

  1. Rainfall. Bouwes used a control stream; Nyssen a woodland reference. Mulloon and Slovak claims have no rainfall control.
  2. Upstream-downstream transfer. Arvari, Murray-Darling interception policy, Ethiopian sand dam caps.
  3. Evaporation. 47.6% of Makueni reservoir losses; 57% of Kitui depletion; beaver ponds.
  4. Abstraction rebound. Irrigation expansion lowered Arvari resilience; the river parliament lacked aquifer data to enforce limits.
  5. Failure and silting. Rudno, Kitui, Jiuyuangou, Tigray trenches.
  6. Survivorship. No independent gauged study of Hiware Bazar, Ralegan Siddhi, Laporiya or Tarwyn Park was found.
  7. Self-reported totals. Labeled [MS] in the table.

Practitioner claims against independent evidence

ProgramStated resultIndependent evidenceGap
Slovak program100,000 structures, 10 Mm³ [MS]No evaluation; audit fraud; dam failuresLarge
Tarun Bharat SanghArvari perennial [MS]Local recharge; modeled flow lossUnverified
Jalyukt ShivarVillages drought-freeCAG nullsLarge
Mulloon NSFOutflow above inflow [MS]Results pendingOpen
PickeringUp to 20%15-20% in a 50 mm eventSmall
AmunasDry-season springs45-day tracersSmall
ZaïYields doubledYield gains with manureModerate
Sand damsReliable waterHalf dry in KituiSiting
Tamera, KrameterhofRestored water cycleNone foundUntested

What a credible retention monitoring design looks like

Pair the treated catchment with a control (Bridge Creek against Murderers Creek). Collect at least two years of baseline. Gauge above and below the works, run a well or piezometer network (29 wells in the Arvari), keep rain gauges in the catchment, use tracers for residence time (amunas), and log abstraction. Measure evaporation from new storage. Run for ten years or more, through at least one large event, with structure-condition surveys at years 1, 5 and 10. Publish data independently of the implementer, as the Environment Agency did at Pickering. For performance-based water bonds, this supports paying for O1, O2, O6 and O7 now and contracting O3 only with this monitoring.

Summary table

ClaimGradeStatusSafe
Structures cut plot runoff and erosion[IC]documented-factYes
Local recharge near structures[IC]academic-inferenceWith caveat
Catchment baseflow rises[TBV]working-hypothesisNo
Dense retention cuts downstream yield[IC]academic-inferenceYes
Check dams cut sediment[IC]documented-factYes
Moderate flood peaks fall[IC]academic-inferenceWith caveat
Large floods prevented[TBV]speculative-projectionNo
Retention cools land[TBV]working-hypothesisWith caveat
Retention raises rainfall[TBV]speculative-projectionNo
Community-led outperforms[TBV]working-hypothesisNo
Slovak 10 Mm³ stored[MS]speculative-projectionOnly as claim

Sources

Provenance

Written on 28 October 2026 under version 0.1 of wrl-success-evidence-deep-research.md, as a follow-on to the WRL and fynbos/renosterveld run of 12 October 2026 and the “Clear and Retain” run of 28 October 2026. The research run made 18 web searches and one delegated search on the Slovak program, in English, Slovak, Czech, Spanish and French.

The research tools could not open the wiki corpus pages during the run, so the brief was written without reading the current text or epistemic_status of Water Retention Landscapes or the practitioner pages. The CAG and NKÚ audits were read through press reports. Taye et al. (2015) and Puttock et al. (2017) were cited from earlier knowledge and not re-read. Brazil, Mexico, Jordan, the Negev, the Baviaanskloof, keyline and stage-zero restoration sites were not reached. Reviews, audits and official records sit outside the E1 to E5 ladder and are labeled by type. No place-specific material from the Overberg or Ward 2 was used.